Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 72.417201 81.526679 90.844000 101.054710 111.898790 123.042733 135.331273
2025-07-27 57.776948 70.794214 84.719210 100.592137 118.059657 136.582389 157.597904
2025-08-03 48.560386 63.600681 80.249746 99.775808 121.797047 145.638984 173.186471
2025-08-10 42.309664 58.844266 77.706081 100.363999 126.431935 155.121763 188.738078
2025-08-17 36.590523 54.029853 74.514297 99.680054 129.162194 162.084140 201.130584
2025-08-24 32.308209 50.491797 72.436919 99.943266 132.678277 169.686375 214.026273
2025-08-31 28.034610 46.543724 69.520581 98.906761 134.422013 175.051706 224.199172
2025-09-07 25.391720 44.448813 68.684234 100.202700 138.773322 183.316133 237.603442
2025-09-14 23.215198 42.769763 68.212149 101.812499 143.395356 191.819721 251.227684
2025-09-21 20.334779 39.854002 65.946201 101.018271 144.974700 196.639438 260.481837
2025-09-28 17.294331 36.417027 62.771941 98.886555 144.764523 199.214676 267.004548
2025-10-05 16.599907 36.395221 64.139663 102.552715 151.697865 210.320764 283.587042
2025-10-12 15.389577 35.503804 64.288273 104.642697 156.711087 219.193021 297.636176
2025-10-19 13.500213 33.364250 62.583145 104.209962 158.498031 224.130868 306.992089
2025-10-26 11.695947 31.166308 60.656285 103.370447 159.682207 228.269345 315.340114
2025-11-02 10.465216 29.807831 59.851022 103.971800 162.655775 234.563635 326.255945
2025-11-09 9.033064 27.922611 58.156669 103.273571 163.890485 238.671098 334.499621
2025-11-16 7.972525 26.591262 57.209396 103.542248 166.333824 244.243280 344.498169
2025-11-23 6.738840 24.751442 55.372291 102.484289 166.979387 247.534147 351.688512
2025-11-30 6.101318 24.035959 55.244311 103.807032 170.740327 254.709311 363.620568
2025-12-07 5.577995 23.495083 55.357199 105.449923 174.913216 262.398435 376.187359
2025-12-14 4.682699 21.982478 53.810649 104.639396 175.768931 265.875959 383.558713
2025-12-21 3.688670 20.018738 51.391986 102.463665 174.719699 266.888362 387.848656